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UEFA: Euro 2024

21:00 Spain – Italy

PICK: 1 (Spain to win)

Odds @ 2.20

FT 1 : 0

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Two titans of European football clash on Thursday evening as Spain and Italy vie for a spot in Euro 2024’s knockout stages.

Both teams emerged victorious in their opening Group B matches, so a draw in this encounter should be sufficient for the reigning champions and their Nations League rivals to advance.

When Spain’s coach Luis de la Fuente sent his team out at Berlin’s Olympiastadion for their Euro 2024 debut, he could hardly have anticipated a three-goal lead by halftime against Croatia.

Alvaro Morata, Fabian Ruiz, and Dani Carvajal all found the net before the break, starting their campaign with a decisive victory. Morata reached double figures for goals in major tournaments, and Carvajal became the oldest Spanish scorer in Euros history.

Featuring the tournament’s youngest player, 16-year-old Lamine Yamal, who assisted on La Roja’s third goal, and with Unai Simon saving a penalty, Spain’s poised performance indicates they could be strong contenders for the trophy this summer.

With European titles from 1964, 2008, and 2012, Spain aims to add a fourth continental crown. Under De la Fuente, they have lost just one of 11 competitive matches, winning the last seven, marking their best run since 2017. Recent encounters with Italy in this ‘Group of Death’ have been favorable, with Spain winning consecutive UEFA Nations League semi-finals and last year’s edition, though they have never won three straight against Italy.

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A point each in Gelsenkirchen could secure both teams’ passage to the last 16, potentially allowing De la Fuente to rest key players against Albania. Nonetheless, pride will be at stake.

Despite Spain’s recent dominance, Italy triumphed on penalties three years ago en route to winning Euro 2020. Since their loss to Spain in the Nations League last June, the Azzurri have only lost one of their next 12 matches, winning eight, with Luciano Spalletti revitalizing a squad that had begun to decline under Roberto Mancini.

Italy’s title defense began shakily, but they quickly recovered from conceding the fastest goal in Euros history—scored by Sassuolo’s Nedim Bajrami after just 23 seconds—in Saturday’s Group B match against Albania. Alessandro Bastoni equalized 10 minutes later, and his Inter Milan teammate Nicolo Barella put them ahead.

Unbeaten in 10 European Championship games, with their last defeat coming against the Republic of Ireland eight years ago, Italy aims to become only the second team to win consecutive Euros, following Spain. To achieve this, they must first ensure they progress to the knockout stages.

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